On
Tuesday, US defense industry analysts offered a report claiming that
American military contractors will be overtaken in coming years
by defense contractors in Israel, South Korea, and Brazil, marking an
end to Western dominance over war profiteering.
The report, "Dynamics of International Military Modernization 2016,"
authored by Daniel Yoon and Doug Berenson from Beltway consultants
Avascent blamed American military exports for the market threat,
as countries buy arms at a cut rate to back-engineer US weapons
technology.
"In many cases, these emerging players
developed through diffused technology via prior export arrangements
with Western suppliers, often through offset requirements and domestic
industry participation," stated the report. In layman’s terms, foreign
countries purchase US arms to steal American know-how, avoiding the
burdensome taxpayer-subsidized cost of research and development.
The development occurs as the US military-industrial complex has
shifted its focus toward exporting weapons to tyrannical regimes
throughout the world, as a means to offset reductions in the size of the
American war machine following the drawdown in Iraq and Afghanistan.
According to the report, "in 2010, only 17% of defense equipment
manufactured in the US was exported; by 2015, that number jumped
dramatically to 34%."
US weapons-manufacturing expertise has been suggested as being
in decline primarily due to Washington’s reticence to engage in war,
opting instead to be the Walmart of weapon retailers for the world.
The situation is exacerbated by the Obama Administration’s
trigger-happy approach to sell arms, often including troubling "offset
requirements" making it easier for the nascent domestic defense
industries of countries to "absorb suppliers' technical expertise."
In addition to the rapid growth of weapons manufacturing expertise
in Israel, South Korea, and Brazil, the US contends with other leading
arms exporters, including Russia and China, who offer high-end military
technology. Analysts also suggest that the American military-industrial
complex will soon forfeit market share to other nations, including Japan
and India.
The report claimed that Israel may soon become the world’s premier
supplier of radar, missile, and drone technology, noting that the
country’s unmanned aerial vehicles are competitive with US hardware.
South Korea looks to make its mark in air
superiority with the development of an indigenous fighter jet and a next
generation T-50 design. In addition to the aerospace field, South Korea
excels in the production of destroyers, frigates, amphibious assault
vehicles, and assault submarines, the report said.
Brazil, by contrast, looked to occupy the lower-tech echelons of the
market, at a cut-rate price exploiting a niche in light attack aircraft
thanks to a partnership with Saab to produce the Gripen fighter.
American military superiority is thought to be endangered by the
growing export of defense technology throughout the world, leading some
analysts to worry about the future of the US weapons industry, and the
safety and security of the country.
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